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(If the Inflation Calculator doesn't appear or fails to work, JavaScript may be disabled in your web browser. Please check your security settings.) How to Use Tom's Inflation CalculatorSix selectable data sets let you use Tom's Inflation Calculator for your own purposes. The default inflation data is the Consumer Price Index (Urban), 1665 to 2100. The other data sets cover fewer years. All of them can perform calculations forward or backward in time, for any years within their ranges. For most purposes, the default data is sufficient. It's the U.S. government's Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), Annual Average. Use this data set when calculating price inflation for goods and services or to see how wages are keeping up with those prices. For wage inflation, use the Social Security data set. For information about these data sets, scroll down this page to the section "Changing Data and Formatting Options." See more instructions and examples below. For a question-and-answer format, see Tom's Inflation Calculator Frequently Asked Questions. Three Examples Using the CalculatorExample #1 (CPI-U inflation, backward in time): Suppose you just paid $5.00 for a gallon of regular gasoline. In the summer of 2008, gasoline reached $4.11 per gallon. But was gasoline really cheaper then, after allowing for inflation?
The answer in this case, $3.43 appears below the Calculate button. So, after adjusting for inflation, today's $5.00 gasoline is actually much cheaper ($3.43 in 2008 dollars) than it was in 2008 ($4.11 in 2008 dollars). Another way of comparing these prices is to convert the 2008 price to 2024 dollars. Enter 4.11 in the Dollar Amount field, 2008 in the Starting Year field, and 2024 in the Target Year field. The answer is $5.98, so gasoline in the summer of 2008 was much more expensive than a $5.00 gallon is now. Example #2 (wage inflation, forward in time): Suppose you were making $30,000 a year in 2010. Have your wages kept pace with general wage inflation since then?
The answer in this case, $47,958.50 appears below the Calculate button. If your current salary is less, you haven't kept up with general wage inflation. Time for a raise! Example #3 (wage/price inflation, forward in time): Suppose you were making $30,000 a year in 2010. Have your wages kept pace with general price inflation since then?
The answer in this case, $43,166.05 for 20102024 appears below the Calculate button. (The answer for 20102023 is $41,908.79.) If your current salary is less, you haven't kept up with general price inflation. Time for a raise! Changing Data and Formatting OptionsYou can turn dollar-and-cents formatting on or off using the check box. The default setting is on. Turning it off shows the raw answer. You can also select from five different sets of inflation data:
Far-future forecasts: Tom's Inflation Calculator can make inflation estimates as far forward as the year 2100 as part of the Consumer Price Index data set. These inflation rates are based on forecasts by the Congressional Budget Office (for the years 20242034) and my own forecasts for years beyond the CBO forecasts. (My annual forecast is 3.27 percent the mean average inflation rate since the government began collecting these statistics in 1913.) These inflation estimates let you roughly estimate how much your retirement savings will be worth in future years. (My thanks to Penelope Reznor and Kodi Wolf for suggesting these extensions.) Displaying Inflation RatesYou can see inflation rate percentages for all years in the currently selected data set by clicking the Show Inflation Data button. This button is disabled (grayed out) until after an inflation calculation. If the Inflation Data window doesn't appear even after clicking the enabled button, your web browser may be blocking pop-up windows to discourage unwanted advertisements; please check your browser settings. If the inflation percentage is a negative number, it indicates deflation for that year. The Inflation Data window also displays the data source and the cumulative inflation rate for the range of years selected. Note that the cumulative rate is derived iteratively, not merely by summing the inflation percentages for each year. The cumulative number shows the total amount of inflation during the years you selected. (Thanks to Cy Coleman for suggesting this feature.) A Few More HintsThe target year's inflation rate is the inflation since the previous year. For instance, if you calculate inflation from 2012 to 2013, the program uses the 2013 inflation rate. If you calculate inflation from 1990 to 2017, the program uses the inflation rates for 1991 to 2017. This program uses only annual inflation data, not monthly data, so it has a worst-case error of 12 months and an average error of 6 months. In the worst case, it will overstate the actual inflation by 12 months if your starting date is December 31 and your target date is January 1. To the program, a year has passed, but a year's worth of inflation doesn't happen overnight. Data SourcesMy program uses inflation data from several sources, including Economic History Services (no longer public), the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Congressional Budget Office, and the Social Security Administration. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) is compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and is available from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. This data is the year-over-year percent change as measured from January 1 to January 1 of the following year, seasonally adjusted. The most widely quoted inflation rate is the U.S. government's Consumer Price Index (CPI), 1913 to present, as compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. By default, my Inflation Calculator uses the CPI-U (CPI All Urban Consumers) data, not seasonally adjusted (data series CUUR0000SA0). The CPI-U includes medical-care inflation since 1935 (data series CUUR0000SAM). The CPI-U December-to-December retail inflation is also from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and extends from 1913 to present (data series CUUR0000SA0). Data before 1913 was reconstructed by historians and economists from old records and is less reliable. For inflation rates from 1801 to 1912, the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis cites three sources: "Index of Prices Paid By Vermont Farmers for Family Living" (18001851), "Consumer Price Index by Ethel D. Hoover" (18511890), and "Cost of Living Index by Albert Rees" (18901912). The ShadowStats retail-inflation data is from a private company, not the U.S. government. Inflation rates for 2024 through 2034 are forecasts from the Congressional Budget Office, a nonpartisan source. Inflation rates for years beyond 2034 are based on the mean average inflation rate (3.27 percent per year) since the U.S. government began collecting these statistics in 1913. If you want to learn more about how the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics gathers inflation data, the San Francisco Chronicle published an interesting article about a BLS "shopper." These professional shoppers spend their days canvassing stores, checking retail prices on the kinds of products American consumers are buying. The article was published on April 30, 2006, and is headlined, "A Measure of What's in Store". On February 24, 2008, the San Francisco Chronicle published an article discussing the shortcomings of the CPI: "Consumer Price Index a Real Guessing Game". Other CalculatorsThe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has an inflation calculator. It uses the same CPI-U (annual average) data that my Inflation Calculator uses by default. However, answers may vary when converting values to the present year, because the BLS calculator includes the latest monthly inflation data. For my calculator, I update the CPI data only once a year (in January), when the data is more settled. (The government sometimes revises its monthly inflation data and makes seasonal adjustments.) When converting between other years, rounding errors during calculations may cause insignificant differences between the answers. Also, the BLS calculator covers only the years 1913 to present. Unlike my Inflation Calculator, it doesn't include historical data going back to 1665 or the forecasts to 2100. Nor does it have alternative data sets. For an interesting Italian inflation calculator and website, see https://www.rivaluta.it/calcolatore-inflazione.asp Penn State University has a Living Wage Calculator that accounts for differences in various parts of the U.S. It's part of Penn State's Poverty in America Project. Send Me Your FeedbackYour feedback is welcome. Click here for the contact page. |